{"id":2364,"date":"2013-08-13T13:39:54","date_gmt":"2013-08-13T21:39:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.danamackenzie.com\/blog\/?p=2364"},"modified":"2013-08-13T13:40:19","modified_gmt":"2013-08-13T21:40:19","slug":"world-cup-round-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/danamackenzie.com\/blog\/?p=2364","title":{"rendered":"World Cup Day 3"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As expected, the playoff day for Round 1 of the World Cup was full of drama, with unbelievable reversals of fortune, controversy, and yes, two Armageddon games.<\/p>\n<p>The most unbelievable shift of fortune occurred in the match between #27 Evgeny Alekseev and #102 Baskaran Adhiban. According to the broadcast team of Susan Polgar and Lawrence Trent, the Russian&#8217;s flag fell in a position where he had mate-in-three! When I play over the game it doesn&#8217;t look quite that extreme, but it looks as if Alekseev could have easily queened a pawn and had mate in a few moves.<\/p>\n<p>By the time his flag fell, I think Alekseev was still winning but it was not so easy. I think he had to play for a zugzwang, which is a very tricky thing to work out when you have only 3 seconds per move. Maybe while he was doing these computations, he &#8220;froze&#8221; long enough for his flag to fall. In any case, he was a beaten man in the next game, which Adhiban also won to complete a shocking upset.<\/p>\n<p>The controversy came in the match between #20 Teimour Radjabov and #109 Jorge Cori. In one of the rounds Cori was not certain of the starting time &#8212; he thought it was xx:50 when in fact it was xx:15. When he saw the players heading back into the tournament hall on a TV feed, he rushed back to the playing hall, but he was <em>one minute late<\/em> (or perhaps two, depending on whose account you read). According to FIDE&#8217;s ridiculous &#8220;zero tolerance rule,&#8221; this meant that he was forfeited. He filed an appeal with a required fee of $500, which Susan Polgar offered to pay for him. (I&#8217;m not sure whether she actually did or not.) Nice gesture, Susan, but you have a little bit to learn about so-called journalistic objectivity. The appeals committee&#8217;s decision was swift and merciless. Because Cori did manage to draw his next game, the forfeit ended up costing him the match.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s very sad, but there is no one to blame here except the FIDE leadership, which implemented the stupid rule. It&#8217;s not Radjabov&#8217;s fault, not the appeals committee&#8217;s fault (they are charged with enforcing the rules, nothing more) and especially not Cori&#8217;s fault. But the result is that we were all deprived of what might have been the biggest upset of round 1.<\/p>\n<p>The Armageddon games were Tomashevsky-Ramirez and Melkumyan-Granda Zuniga. In each case the higher-rated player (Tomashevsky and Granda Zuniga) won. I unfortunately could not watch because I was, get this, recording a ChessLecture! It&#8217;s a regular recording time for me, and I didn&#8217;t want to mess around with the schedule. So I can&#8217;t tell you much about what happened, but I&#8217;m sure it was exciting.<\/p>\n<p>So round one is history and the field for round two is set. How did my predictions do? In a word, pretty badly. I did only one thing right &#8212; I correctly predicted the number of upsets (14). Unfortunately, I did not predict the <em>right<\/em> upsets. Here are the underdogs who won in the first round, with the four whom I predicted in boldface:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>#105 Wei Yi<\/li>\n<li>#102 Baskaran Adhiban<\/li>\n<li><strong>#94 Ruben Felgaer<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>#91 Alexandr Fier<\/strong><\/li>\n<li>#89 Jon Ludvig Hammer<\/li>\n<li>#87 Isan Reynaldo Ortiz Suarez<\/li>\n<li>#85 Nguyen Ngoc Truong Son<\/li>\n<li>#83 Ray Robson<\/li>\n<li>#82 Evgeny Postny<\/li>\n<li>#80 Rafael Leitao<\/li>\n<li><strong>#75 Daniil Dubov<\/strong><\/li>\n<li>#71 Anton Filippov<\/li>\n<li><strong>#68 Dariusz Swiercz<\/strong><\/li>\n<li>#67 Mikhail Kobalia<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Of course it doesn&#8217;t really matter whether I predicted them or not. The one great thing about this event is that it allows fair-to-middling grandmasters (what a concept!) a rare chance to show how they can do against the elite super-GMs. The fourteen listed above have done their job, and now we&#8217;ll see if they can keep it going.<\/p>\n<p>Looking ahead to round two, because of my mistakes in round one I already have predicted 7 out of 32 matches wrong. Here are the underdogs whom I have predicted to win in round two:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>#33 So over #32 Tomashevsky<\/strong>. A very mild upset indeed.<\/li>\n<li><strong>#45 Bruzon Batista over #20 Radjabov.<\/strong> Radjabov didn&#8217;t show much in round one, winning only on a technicality, so this is looking somewhat possible.<\/li>\n<li><strong>#39 Moiseenko over #26 Bacrot.<\/strong> How will Moiseenko perform after being the only person to win round one by forfeit? (His opponent never showed up.)<\/li>\n<li><strong>#55 Onischuk over #10 Dominguez.<\/strong> This was a very bold prediction, and likely a case of letting my heart choose instead of my head.<\/li>\n<li><strong>#75 Dubov over #11 Ponomariov.<\/strong> My boldest prediction of all for round 2. (Well, #73 Smeets over #9 Mamedyarov was perhaps even bolder, but it&#8217;s now no longer possible because Smeets has been eliminated.) Let&#8217;s hope that Dubov is ready for the big time.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The matchup I&#8217;m really looking forward to is one that I didn&#8217;t foresee &#8212; #83 Ray Robson against #19 Vassily Ivanchuk. It goes without saying that I&#8217;ll be rooting for Ray, even if it ruins my predictions. Another match to look forward to is the one between two &#8220;Cinderellas,&#8221; #91 Alexandr Fier and #102 Baskaran Adhiban. One of their dreams will stay alive! Also I&#8217;ll be very interested in #105 Wei Yi versus #41 Alexei Shirov. Shirov absolutely had his hands full in round one with Hou Yifan, and now he gets to play another super-talented young Chinese player, even younger and perhaps even more talented than the last one.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As expected, the playoff day for Round 1 of the World Cup was full of drama, with unbelievable reversals of fortune, controversy, and yes, two Armageddon games. The most unbelievable shift of fortune occurred in the match between #27 Evgeny Alekseev and #102 Baskaran Adhiban. According to the broadcast team of Susan Polgar and Lawrence [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":80,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1363,12],"tags":[342,1342,2619,2466,2477],"class_list":["post-2364","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-current-news","category-tournaments","tag-armageddon","tag-controversy","tag-jorge-cori","tag-prognostications","tag-teimour-radjabov"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/danamackenzie.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2364","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/danamackenzie.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/danamackenzie.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/danamackenzie.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/80"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/danamackenzie.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2364"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/danamackenzie.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2364\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2366,"href":"https:\/\/danamackenzie.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2364\/revisions\/2366"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/danamackenzie.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2364"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/danamackenzie.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2364"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/danamackenzie.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2364"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}